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  • The Real Growth Story Is Wall Street

    Posted 1 year ago

    Despite the focus on China's growth, and the impact its 'hard' or 'soft' landing could have on the global economy, a comparison of key stock indices in China and the US since mid-2009 show an American growth story.

    Source: Iress
  • The Real Chinese Economy

    Posted 1 year ago

    While official growth in China's GDP remains above 7.5%, growth in the key industries of steel, cement and electricity is slowing to near zero.

    Source: Westpac
  • Why Everyone's Driven Mad By Petrol Prices

    Posted 1 year ago

    Weekly petrol price volatility for the consumer cycles down to very close ? or even below ? the wholesale cost and then back up roughly 10c above cost again on peak demand days.

    Source: ORIMA, MotorMouth, CommSec
  • Phew, The Rumour Wasn't True

    Posted 1 year ago

    The relief felt following the release of China's GDP data today, which some believed would be far lower than the 7.6% reported, can be seen in the midday spike on the All Ordinaries index today.

    Source: Iress
  • Australia's Missing Consumers

    Posted 1 year ago

    It's easy to see one place some of Australia's discretionary consumer spending has gone in recent years ? overseas. The balance of short-term departures from Australia against short-term arrivals has been increasingly in the negative since the global financial crisis.

    Source: Australian Industry Group
  • China GDP Growth

    Posted 1 year ago

    China's quarterly and annual GDP growth has been volatile in the past six years, but even without the impact of the global financial crisis the growth has been trending gradually downward from well above 10%. China's GDP growth for the second quarter this year came in at 7.6%.

    Source: ANZ
  • The Three Great Recessions

    Posted 1 year ago

    Comparing the current US and European recessions, which officially began in the first and second quarters of 2008 respectively, and the Japanese recession beginning the second quarter of 1991, shows a poor outlook for the former two economic areas if the Japanese experience is replicated.

    Source: Morgan Stanley
  • Why Germany Likes A Weak Euro

    Posted 1 year ago

    German exports ? and imports for that matter, though there is a strong trade surplus ? have risen steadily since the global financial crisis, aided by a relatively weak euro which makes Germany's manufacturing output more affordable.

    Source: Deutche Bundesbank, Datastream, SG Cross Asset Research/Economics
  • Telstra and BHP

    Posted 1 year ago

    One clear example of the 'risk off, yield on' investor sentiment this year comes from the share prices of major Australian blue chips Telstra and BHP Billiton. From a start-of-year index of 100, Telstra shares are now above 116 points, while BHP has dropped to barely above 90.

    Source: Iress
  • Business Conditions Still Subdued

    Posted 1 year ago

    After a steep deterioration during the global financial crisis, and a subsequent recovery, indices of both business conditions and business confidence remain near zero, and have been gradually trending downward since 2010.

    Source: NAB